Poll Results Spread; California Democratic Primary: CBS News/YouGov: Sanders 31, Biden 19, Warren 18, Bloomberg 12, Buttigieg 9, Klobuchar 4, Steyer 3, Gabbard 1: Sanders +12: Texas Democratic Primary. Betting Odds - Democratic Presidential Nomination. Dem Delegate Count, Map Dem Popular Vote Latest 2020 Polls. Betting Odds - Democratic Presidential Nomination.
Our latest forecast for how many pledged delegates each candidate will win after all states have voted
Our latest forecast for how many pledged delegates each candidate will win after all states have voted. FiveThirtyEight's model simulates the primary season thousands of times to find the most likely outcome for each candidate, accounting for the margin of their wins and losses, plus the possibility that a trailing candidate might drop out. See how the odds to be the Democratic Nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election have changed over time. Find the current odds for Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, Michelle Obama, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Bernie Sanders, Andrew Yang, Elizabeth Warren, Stacey Abrams, Beto O'Rourke, and all other top candidates. Oddsmakers are offering odds that insist Yang is the best bet if the Democrats want to dethrone Trump. They released four prop wagers encompassing how four of the leading Democrat front runners for the 2020 Presidential Election odds would fare against Republican incumbent Trump.
FiveThirtyEight's model simulates the primary season thousands of times to find the most likely outcome for each candidate, accounting for the margin of their wins and losses, plus the possibility that a trailing candidate might drop out. The chart shows how many delegates, on average, each candidate is projected to have pledged to them at each point in the primary season, along with a range of possible delegate counts. We're also showing the distribution of simulated final pledged delegate counts in the table, where taller bars mean a more likely outcome.
FiveThirtyEight's model simulates the primary season thousands of times to find the most likely outcome for each candidate, accounting for the margin of their wins and losses, plus the possibility that a trailing candidate might drop out. We're showing the distribution of simulated final pledged delegate counts in the table, where taller bars mean a more likely outcome.
Election Betting Odds
By Maxim Lott and John Stossel
Why This Beats Polls | Odds from FTX.com, Betfair, Smarkets, and PredictIt | How People BetHover over candidate pics for market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.
Odds for this page are averaged between FTX.com, Betfair and Smarkets
20.1% +0.0% |
15.1% +0.0% |
10.6% -0.1% |
5.7% +0.0% |
3.9% +0.0% |
3.8% +0.0% |
1.9% +0.0% |
1.7% +0.0% |
1.7% +0.0% |
1.5% +0.0% |
1.5% +0.0% |
1.4% +0.0% |
1.2% +0.0% |
1.0% +0.0% |
0.9% +0.0% |
0.8% +0.0% |
0.5% +0.0% |
0.4% -0.1% |
0.4% +0.0% |
0.2% +0.0% |
25.6% |
54.0% +0.0% |
42.5% +0.0% |
3.5% |
Democratic Polls Usa
22.4% 0.2% |
11.3% +0.0% |
10.0% +0.0% |
7.5% 0.1% |
4.8% 0.1% |
4.1% 0.1% |
3.7% -0.2% |
2.9% +0.0% |
2.9% +0.0% |
2.7% 0.2% |
2.5% 0.3% |
2.5% +0.0% |
2.5% +0.0% |
2.0% +0.0% |
1.6% +0.0% |
0.8% +0.0% |
15.8% |
Books we like: | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
'No, They Can't' By John Stossel | 'Signal and the Noise' By Nate Silver | 'Random Walk' By Burton Malkiel | 'Radical' By Maajid Nawaz | 'In Order To Live' By Yeonmi Park |
Democratic Polls Betting Odds
(5% of purchases go to support ElectionBettingOdds.com through Amazon.com's affiliate program. Thank you!)About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute
|
Poll Results Spread; California Democratic Primary: CBS News/YouGov: Sanders 31, Biden 19, Warren 18, Bloomberg 12, Buttigieg 9, Klobuchar 4, Steyer 3, Gabbard 1: Sanders +12: Texas Democratic Primary. Betting Odds - Democratic Presidential Nomination. Dem Delegate Count, Map Dem Popular Vote Latest 2020 Polls. Betting Odds - Democratic Presidential Nomination.
Our latest forecast for how many pledged delegates each candidate will win after all states have voted
Our latest forecast for how many pledged delegates each candidate will win after all states have voted. FiveThirtyEight's model simulates the primary season thousands of times to find the most likely outcome for each candidate, accounting for the margin of their wins and losses, plus the possibility that a trailing candidate might drop out. See how the odds to be the Democratic Nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election have changed over time. Find the current odds for Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, Michelle Obama, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Bernie Sanders, Andrew Yang, Elizabeth Warren, Stacey Abrams, Beto O'Rourke, and all other top candidates. Oddsmakers are offering odds that insist Yang is the best bet if the Democrats want to dethrone Trump. They released four prop wagers encompassing how four of the leading Democrat front runners for the 2020 Presidential Election odds would fare against Republican incumbent Trump.
FiveThirtyEight's model simulates the primary season thousands of times to find the most likely outcome for each candidate, accounting for the margin of their wins and losses, plus the possibility that a trailing candidate might drop out. The chart shows how many delegates, on average, each candidate is projected to have pledged to them at each point in the primary season, along with a range of possible delegate counts. We're also showing the distribution of simulated final pledged delegate counts in the table, where taller bars mean a more likely outcome.
FiveThirtyEight's model simulates the primary season thousands of times to find the most likely outcome for each candidate, accounting for the margin of their wins and losses, plus the possibility that a trailing candidate might drop out. We're showing the distribution of simulated final pledged delegate counts in the table, where taller bars mean a more likely outcome.
Election Betting Odds
By Maxim Lott and John Stossel
Why This Beats Polls | Odds from FTX.com, Betfair, Smarkets, and PredictIt | How People BetHover over candidate pics for market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.
Odds for this page are averaged between FTX.com, Betfair and Smarkets
20.1% +0.0% |
15.1% +0.0% |
10.6% -0.1% |
5.7% +0.0% |
3.9% +0.0% |
3.8% +0.0% |
1.9% +0.0% |
1.7% +0.0% |
1.7% +0.0% |
1.5% +0.0% |
1.5% +0.0% |
1.4% +0.0% |
1.2% +0.0% |
1.0% +0.0% |
0.9% +0.0% |
0.8% +0.0% |
0.5% +0.0% |
0.4% -0.1% |
0.4% +0.0% |
0.2% +0.0% |
25.6% |
54.0% +0.0% |
42.5% +0.0% |
3.5% |
Democratic Polls Usa
22.4% 0.2% |
11.3% +0.0% |
10.0% +0.0% |
7.5% 0.1% |
4.8% 0.1% |
4.1% 0.1% |
3.7% -0.2% |
2.9% +0.0% |
2.9% +0.0% |
2.7% 0.2% |
2.5% 0.3% |
2.5% +0.0% |
2.5% +0.0% |
2.0% +0.0% |
1.6% +0.0% |
0.8% +0.0% |
15.8% |
Books we like: | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
'No, They Can't' By John Stossel | 'Signal and the Noise' By Nate Silver | 'Random Walk' By Burton Malkiel | 'Radical' By Maajid Nawaz | 'In Order To Live' By Yeonmi Park |
Democratic Polls Betting Odds
(5% of purchases go to support ElectionBettingOdds.com through Amazon.com's affiliate program. Thank you!)About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute
|
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